Deportivo Merlo vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
15.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 2
MER
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MER
4 - 0
UAI
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
EST
0 - 0
MER
46%
29%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
MER
1 - 1
ARM
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
MER
3 - 0
SUA
53%
27%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 0
CHA
29%
31%
41%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ALM
2 - 1
DEF
51%
28%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 0
DAL
37%
29%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 0
DEF
59%
25%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 1
BAR
44%
30%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |