Deportivo Merlo vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
47%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
QUI
0 - 0
MER
60%
24%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
MER
1 - 0
IRV
40%
29%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 0
MER
49%
28%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
MER
1 - 0
BUC
34%
28%
39%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
GBR
1 - 1
MER
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
RIV
2 - 2
DYJ
64%
22%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 1
RIV
39%
29%
32%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
RIV
3 - 1
DES
78%
16%
6%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
IRV
1 - 3
RIV
30%
29%
41%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
RIV
1 - 0
CHA
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |