Primera B Nacional Round 6

Deportivo Merlo vs River Plate analysis

Deportivo Merlo River Plate
69 ELO 80
-22.9% Tilt -15.1%
2589º General ELO ranking 236º
93º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
23.4%
Deportivo Merlo
29.5%
Draw
47%
River Plate

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
Deportivo Merlo
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
47%
Win probability
River Plate
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Deportivo Merlo
-12%
+25%
River Plate

ELO progression

Deportivo Merlo
River Plate
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Deportivo Merlo
Deportivo Merlo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 2011
QUI
Quilmes
0 - 0
Deportivo Merlo
MER
60%
24%
15%
69 76 7 0
03 Sep. 2011
MER
Deportivo Merlo
1 - 0
Indep. Rivadavia
IRV
40%
29%
31%
68 67 1 +1
28 Aug. 2011
ALM
Almirante Brown
1 - 0
Deportivo Merlo
MER
49%
28%
23%
69 72 3 -1
20 Aug. 2011
MER
Deportivo Merlo
1 - 0
Boca Unidos
BUC
34%
28%
39%
68 70 2 +1
07 Aug. 2011
GBR
Guillermo Brown
1 - 1
Deportivo Merlo
MER
58%
24%
19%
68 69 1 0

Matches

River Plate
River Plate
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 2011
RIV
River Plate
2 - 2
Defensa y Justicia
DYJ
64%
22%
14%
81 70 11 0
03 Sep. 2011
QUI
Quilmes
1 - 1
River Plate
RIV
39%
29%
32%
81 76 5 0
28 Aug. 2011
RIV
River Plate
3 - 1
Sportivo Desamparados
DES
78%
16%
6%
81 61 20 0
21 Aug. 2011
IRV
Indep. Rivadavia
1 - 3
River Plate
RIV
30%
29%
41%
80 68 12 +1
17 Aug. 2011
RIV
River Plate
1 - 0
Chacarita Juniors
CHA
65%
22%
13%
80 70 10 0