Deportivo Merlo vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
29.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
TAL
1 - 0
MER
36%
28%
37%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
MER
1 - 0
EST
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
MER
1 - 0
CCO
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2008 |
ATL
0 - 0
MER
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
MER
1 - 2
SAR
36%
27%
38%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
BRO
3 - 3
SAR
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
COL
2 - 0
BRO
50%
27%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
CHI
3 - 0
BRO
70%
20%
10%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
BRO
0 - 0
ALM
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
DEF
1 - 1
BRO
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |