Deportivo Merlo vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
50.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
CEN
2 - 1
MER
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
MER
1 - 1
SMA
30%
32%
39%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 0
MER
57%
26%
17%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
MER
0 - 3
SMA
29%
31%
40%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
ALM
0 - 1
MER
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
RAF
3 - 0
FER
59%
24%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
CAI
0 - 0
RAF
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
PAT
0 - 1
RAF
26%
28%
47%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
RAF
0 - 1
CEN
50%
27%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
SMA
0 - 3
RAF
38%
28%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |