Deportivo Maldonado vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
41.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
7º
8º
8º
11
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 13 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
6 | 6 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Maldonado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
DAN
1 - 1
DEP
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 1
FEN
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 2
NAC
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 1
DEP
54%
25%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
DEP
3 - 0
CER
37%
28%
34%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
DEF
3 - 0
CSM
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
DEF
3 - 1
CEL
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 2
DEF
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DEF
0 - 2
PEÑ
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 4
DEF
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |