Torneo Federal A . 1/16
Global 4-2
Deportivo Madryn vs Tiro Federal Bahia Blanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Madryn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 0
CGB
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GUT
1 - 1
DEP
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
FER
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 2
DEP
22%
24%
54%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
INN
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tiro Federal Bahia Blanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
TIR
1 - 0
GYT
35%
27%
38%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
DRO
4 - 1
TIR
41%
24%
34%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
TIR
0 - 0
JAN
31%
27%
43%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
TIR
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TIR
2 - 4
TAL
23%
25%
52%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |