Deportivo Lara vs At. Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
TAC
4 - 1
LAR
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
LAR
1 - 0
ATL
75%
17%
8%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 0
LAR
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
LAR
6 - 0
POR
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
LAR
1 - 0
ZAM
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 2
TRU
55%
26%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 1
ZUL
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
ATL
48%
28%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
PAL
0 - 1
ATL
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
DEP
2 - 1
ATL
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |