Deportivo Lara II vs SC Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
DEP
3 - 1
ARR
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 0
DEP
28%
24%
48%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
DEP
53%
25%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SC Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SCG
0 - 0
POR
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
EST
1 - 2
SCG
17%
22%
62%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SCG
1 - 1
ARA
71%
18%
12%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SCG
1 - 1
CAR
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |