Laferrere vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Laferrere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
LUJ
2 - 1
LAF
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 2
LAF
42%
28%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2017 |
LAF
2 - 3
ITU
37%
30%
33%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
CCO
1 - 0
LAF
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
LAF
2 - 0
CAD
27%
28%
45%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
SMA
36%
27%
38%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
JJU
22%
26%
52%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
ARM
0 - 0
POR
54%
27%
20%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
POR
2 - 3
MER
27%
28%
45%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
EXC
4 - 1
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |