Laferrere vs Argentino Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Laferrere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
DOC
0 - 1
LAF
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
LAF
2 - 0
ITA
55%
24%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
ITU
2 - 2
LAF
31%
30%
40%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
LAF
2 - 1
TAL
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
JJU
2 - 2
LAF
34%
29%
37%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ARM
0 - 1
LUJ
61%
24%
16%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 4
ARM
41%
28%
32%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ARM
2 - 0
CAM
40%
27%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 2
ARM
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
ARM
4 - 1
CCO
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +2 |