Venezuelan Cup Last 16
Global 4-2
La Guaira vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ESC
2 - 3
DEP
14%
21%
66%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
DEP
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 1
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
MON
2 - 3
DEP
50%
23%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 1
LAR
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
TRU
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
DEP
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 1
MON
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
MON
2 - 3
DEP
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
TAC
0 - 1
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |