Apertura Venezuela Four-team tournament Round 2

La Guaira vs Anzoátegui FC analysis

La Guaira Anzoátegui FC
73 ELO 68
-1.5% Tilt -7.2%
1191º General ELO ranking 2022º
Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
52%
La Guaira
25.9%
Draw
22.1%
Anzoátegui FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
La Guaira
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.1%
Win probability
Anzoátegui FC
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
La Guaira
+32%
-10%
Anzoátegui FC

Points and table prediction

La Guaira
Their league position
Anzoátegui FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Deportivo Táchira
15
15
100%
UCV
12
12
100%
La Guaira
10
10
100%
Carabobo
8
8
100%
Metropolitanos
6
6
100%
Portuguesa FC
4
4
0%
Anzoátegui FC
4
4
0%
Puerto Cabello
3
3
100%
Expected probabilities
La Guaira
Anzoátegui FC
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

La Guaira
Anzoátegui FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

La Guaira
La Guaira
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2025
POR
Portuguesa FC
1 - 2
La Guaira
DEP
42%
28%
30%
73 71 2 0
25 Apr. 2025
ZAM
Zamora FC
1 - 2
La Guaira
DEP
32%
28%
40%
73 65 8 0
18 Apr. 2025
DEP
La Guaira
0 - 0
Carabobo
CAR
48%
27%
25%
73 73 0 0
12 Apr. 2025
YAR
Yaracuyanos
1 - 2
La Guaira
DEP
40%
28%
32%
73 70 3 0
06 Apr. 2025
DEP
La Guaira
0 - 0
Puerto Cabello
APC
47%
27%
27%
73 73 0 0

Matches

Anzoátegui FC
Anzoátegui FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2025
AAF
Anzoátegui FC
4 - 4
UCV
UCV
38%
30%
33%
69 72 3 0
26 Apr. 2025
MON
Monagas
2 - 3
Anzoátegui FC
AAF
59%
23%
18%
68 71 3 +1
20 Apr. 2025
AAF
Anzoátegui FC
2 - 0
Zamora FC
ZAM
41%
28%
31%
67 65 2 +1
13 Apr. 2025
CAR
Carabobo
1 - 0
Anzoátegui FC
AAF
53%
26%
21%
67 73 6 0
05 Apr. 2025
AAF
Anzoátegui FC
1 - 1
Yaracuyanos
YAR
35%
29%
37%
67 70 3 0