Espoli vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
TEC
1 - 1
ESP
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
LDU
0 - 0
ESP
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
ESP
2 - 1
AUC
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
UCE
2 - 0
ESP
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
ESP
1 - 1
UCE
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
MAN
2 - 0
LDU
47%
25%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
AUC
1 - 0
MAN
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
MAN
2 - 3
UCE
32%
26%
41%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
TEC
1 - 1
MAN
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 1
TEC
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |