Espoli vs Imbabura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 0
ESP
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ESP
3 - 0
COL
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CLA
0 - 0
ESP
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 3
MAC
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 1
LOJ
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
IMB
3 - 1
GUA
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LOJ
1 - 1
IMB
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
IMB
0 - 0
LDU
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 2
IMB
48%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
IMB
2 - 1
OLM
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |