Espoli vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
MAN
2 - 0
ESP
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
ESP
2 - 0
AUC
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
ESP
6 - 0
DEL
70%
19%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
MUN
1 - 2
ESP
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
ESP
1 - 0
MUN
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
TEC
0 - 1
MUN
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
LDU
4 - 3
TEC
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
TEC
1 - 0
LOJ
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
DEL
1 - 0
TEC
37%
27%
37%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
TEC
2 - 1
DEL
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |