Dep. Español vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2002 |
ESP
2 - 0
FLA
70%
19%
12%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2002 |
SMG
1 - 1
ESP
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
SAR
2 - 1
ESP
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
ESP
3 - 0
MER
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
ESP
0 - 0
TEM
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2002 |
FER
3 - 0
SMG
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
MER
1 - 3
FER
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
TEM
1 - 0
FER
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
FER
1 - 0
SAR
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2002 |
FER
3 - 0
MOR
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |