Dep. Español vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
50.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 0
SAC
36%
27%
38%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
FEN
1 - 2
ESP
58%
24%
19%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 1
ALB
14%
25%
61%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
STM
3 - 1
ESP
56%
25%
19%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
ESP
0 - 3
BAR
21%
28%
51%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CAD
2 - 1
ATL
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
SUA
2 - 1
CAD
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CAD
1 - 1
TAL
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
COM
0 - 1
CAD
26%
27%
47%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAD
1 - 0
COL
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |