Conmebol Sudamericana Playoffs. 1/16
Global 4-4
Deportivo Cuenca vs Jorge Wilstermann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
44.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Cuenca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
LIG
0 - 2
CUE
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
CUE
1 - 1
UCE
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
TEC
0 - 1
CUE
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
CUE
2 - 0
EME
26%
27%
47%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 2018 |
IVT
3 - 1
CUE
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
JWI
2 - 2
STR
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
JWI
2 - 1
STR
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
STR
2 - 1
JWI
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
JWI
1 - 0
SAN
61%
21%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 4
JWI
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +2 |