Dep. Chiantla vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
11.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Chiantla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
SOL
1 - 1
DEP
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
DEP
2 - 1
REU
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
SPD
4 - 1
DEP
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 0
DEP
22%
25%
53%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 0
DEP
68%
21%
11%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
NUE
1 - 4
QUI
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
VEN
3 - 0
NUE
51%
22%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
NUE
1 - 1
LEO
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
XIN
2 - 1
NUE
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
NUE
3 - 1
CHI
59%
23%
19%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |