Dep. Capiatá vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
LIB
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
CCP
1 - 0
DEP
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 1
AME
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 3
DEP
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2014 |
12O
0 - 2
DEP
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
DAN
2 - 4
RAC
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
MWA
2 - 2
DAN
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
DAN
0 - 0
MWA
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
DAN
3 - 0
MWA
45%
24%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
DAN
3 - 3
SUD
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |