Deportivo Fabril vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
11.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BOU
2 - 0
DEP
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 1
VIL
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ORD
0 - 3
DEP
11%
20%
69%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 2
ARO
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 3
DEP
23%
23%
55%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 0
BAR
59%
21%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NEG
2 - 2
CHO
37%
25%
38%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 1
CER
36%
26%
38%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RCV
2 - 1
CHO
56%
23%
22%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BOU
4 - 1
CHO
37%
26%
37%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |