Deportivo Fabril vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
LEM
0 - 0
DEP
53%
27%
20%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
DEP
1 - 1
VIS
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
CLU
0 - 0
DEP
57%
25%
18%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
DEP
4 - 2
ARO
45%
27%
28%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +3 |
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
LUG
3 - 0
DEP
77%
16%
7%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
CHO
2 - 1
CEL
64%
21%
15%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
CHO
1 - 0
GRA
41%
29%
31%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
LEM
2 - 1
CHO
69%
21%
11%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
CHO
1 - 2
VIS
60%
23%
17%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
CLU
4 - 0
CHO
70%
20%
10%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |