Dep. Anzoátegui vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Anzoátegui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
ANZ
30%
28%
43%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 0
ANZ
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ANZ
6 - 1
LLA
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
TAC
2 - 1
ANZ
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
ANZ
1 - 1
ZAM
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
CFC
2 - 2
ZAM
43%
26%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
TAC
3 - 2
CFC
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CFC
1 - 0
YAR
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MIR
2 - 1
CFC
17%
24%
60%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
CFC
19%
24%
57%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |