Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 1-0
LDU Loja vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LDU Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 1
LOJ
58%
24%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
LOJ
1 - 1
LIG
40%
29%
32%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
LAR
1 - 1
LOJ
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
CUE
1 - 0
LOJ
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
LOJ
2 - 0
LAR
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 1
OLI
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
GEN
0 - 0
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
STR
1 - 1
NAC
49%
22%
29%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 2
AME
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 0
STR
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |