LDU Loja vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LDU Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
EME
1 - 0
LOJ
57%
24%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
LOJ
0 - 2
DEP
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
LOJ
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LOJ
2 - 2
MAN
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 1
LOJ
30%
28%
43%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 0
IVT
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
UCE
2 - 1
NAC
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
BSC
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BSC
1 - 0
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 2
UCE
44%
26%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |