Serie B - Ecuador Round 17

LDU Loja vs Aucas analysis

LDU Loja Aucas
62 ELO 61
5.5% Tilt -10%
21556º General ELO ranking 677º
66º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
49%
LDU Loja
25%
Draw
26%
Aucas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
LDU Loja
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26%
Win probability
Aucas
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

LDU Loja
Aucas
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

LDU Loja
LDU Loja
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 2009
LOJ
LDU Loja
2 - 2
Atlético Audaz
AUD
46%
26%
28%
61 63 2 0
07 Oct. 2009
IVT
Independiente del Valle
1 - 0
LDU Loja
LOJ
78%
15%
7%
61 76 15 0
03 Oct. 2009
LOJ
LDU Loja
2 - 0
Municipal Canar
MUN
45%
27%
29%
60 65 5 +1
26 Sep. 2009
ROC
Rocafuerte
3 - 1
LDU Loja
LOJ
56%
25%
20%
61 63 2 -1
19 Sep. 2009
LOJ
LDU Loja
1 - 1
Universidad Católica
UCE
27%
26%
47%
61 74 13 0

Matches

Aucas
Aucas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Oct. 2009
AUC
Aucas
2 - 1
Municipal Canar
MUN
46%
27%
27%
61 65 4 0
07 Oct. 2009
ROC
Rocafuerte
1 - 0
Aucas
AUC
53%
25%
22%
61 64 3 0
04 Oct. 2009
AUC
Aucas
0 - 1
Universidad Católica
UCE
28%
26%
47%
62 74 12 -1
26 Sep. 2009
IMB
Imbabura
1 - 2
Aucas
AUC
61%
22%
17%
61 69 8 +1
20 Sep. 2009
AUC
Aucas
0 - 2
Independiente del Valle
IVT
31%
28%
41%
62 74 12 -1