Deportes Tolima vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
MIL
2 - 1
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
AME
3 - 3
TOL
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
TOL
0 - 1
PER
56%
25%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 0
TOL
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
TOL
3 - 2
HUI
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 0
PER
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
NAC
0 - 0
UNI
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 0
PAS
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
CHI
1 - 0
UNI
62%
22%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 2
JUN
32%
29%
39%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |