Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
TOL
2 - 0
COR
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
COR
0 - 0
TOL
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
ONC
3 - 1
TOL
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 1
ONC
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
SFE
0 - 1
TOL
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
SFE
0 - 1
TOL
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
EQU
0 - 1
SFE
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
HUI
1 - 0
SFE
47%
25%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SFE
2 - 1
HUI
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2010 |
SFE
3 - 1
EQU
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |