Deportes Tolima vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 2
TOL
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 0
PER
68%
21%
11%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 1
TOL
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AGU
2 - 2
TOL
33%
26%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 0
CAR
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
ENV
2 - 0
CAR
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
MIL
1 - 0
ENV
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
ENV
1 - 0
CAL
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 0
ENV
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ENV
1 - 0
IND
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |