Deportes Santa Cruz vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
58.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
DSC
3 - 2
VAL
39%
24%
37%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
MAG
2 - 0
DSC
59%
23%
19%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
DSC
1 - 3
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
DSC
1 - 3
NUB
25%
27%
48%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2020 |
CDM
0 - 0
DSC
62%
23%
16%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
UCO
3 - 3
SAN
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
COL
1 - 0
UCO
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
UCO
1 - 2
UCO
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
SWA
1 - 1
UCO
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
UCO
2 - 1
COQ
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |