Recoleta vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
FVC
0 - 0
DER
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
DER
3 - 3
USF
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
USF
0 - 0
DER
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
MAG
2 - 1
DER
65%
22%
14%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
DER
2 - 3
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
COB
1 - 0
UCO
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
UCO
1 - 1
CDM
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
DLS
1 - 2
UCO
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
UCO
4 - 3
DLS
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 2
UCO
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |