Recoleta vs Colina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
DER
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
DER
2 - 2
JUV
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
DER
5 - 3
REN
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
GAS
1 - 3
DER
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
DER
1 - 2
GVE
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Colina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
ACC
3 - 2
GAS
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
GVE
3 - 1
ACC
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CDP
2 - 1
ACC
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
ACC
0 - 1
LAU
44%
25%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |