Denver vs Mbabane Swallows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
GRE
0 - 1
DNV
63%
22%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
MHL
0 - 0
DNV
40%
25%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
DNV
2 - 0
MAN
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
HIG
0 - 0
DNV
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ROY
1 - 1
DNV
61%
23%
16%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
MBA
0 - 0
TAM
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
MBA
0 - 0
HIG
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MBA
2 - 0
MAL
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
ROY
1 - 2
MBA
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
MBA
2 - 0
MAN
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |