Dénia vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
10.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
DEN
0 - 0
ALI
55%
25%
20%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
CPO
1 - 2
DEN
44%
26%
30%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
DEN
0 - 0
ALB
59%
24%
17%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
CAN
0 - 1
DEN
39%
28%
33%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
DEN
0 - 0
PIN
51%
26%
23%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
ASP
0 - 1
CPO
51%
26%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
ALB
1 - 1
ASP
63%
23%
14%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
ASP
0 - 0
CAN
52%
26%
22%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
PIN
3 - 0
ASP
71%
19%
10%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
ASP
0 - 4
MON
54%
25%
21%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |