FCV Dender vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
6º
12º
10º
14
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
KSK
2 - 1
DEN
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
DEN
2 - 3
BEE
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
BRG
4 - 1
DEN
57%
24%
18%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
DEN
2 - 1
RSC
26%
27%
47%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
STL
1 - 1
DEN
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
EXC
2 - 2
DIF
15%
19%
66%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
EXC
4 - 4
ROC
68%
19%
14%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 0
WAA
10%
19%
71%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
RWD
3 - 1
EXC
71%
19%
11%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 1
LOM
17%
23%
60%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |