FCV Dender vs Anderlecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
41.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
5º
16º
15º
9
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
14 | 49 |
1º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 48 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
1º
|
14 | 47 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 47 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 46 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 44 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 43 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 42 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 42 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 41 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 38 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 37 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 34 |
14º
|
7% | |
|
|
16º
|
2 | 29 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 28 |
16º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0.5% | 45% |
|
Next round
|
14.5% | 40% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
85% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
STR
2 - 0
DEN
48%
24%
27%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
SDL
1 - 1
DEN
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
DEN
0 - 0
CER
30%
26%
45%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
HER
2 - 1
DEN
48%
23%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
GRO
2 - 0
DEN
41%
24%
35%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2025 |
SHF
1 - 1
AND
28%
25%
48%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
AND
2 - 3
ZUL
51%
24%
25%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2025 |
AND
3 - 0
SHF
69%
19%
13%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
CER
0 - 2
AND
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2025 |
HÄC
2 - 1
AND
39%
24%
37%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |