Democrata SL vs Pouso Alegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
58.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata SL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
DEM
1 - 0
DEM
53%
25%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
DEM
5 - 1
VEC
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
BET
0 - 2
DEM
49%
25%
27%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
DEM
2 - 1
BOA
29%
29%
42%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
DEM
0 - 1
IFC
16%
20%
65%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Pouso Alegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
POA
0 - 4
AMF
12%
22%
66%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
POA
1 - 0
ARN
35%
30%
35%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ARN
2 - 0
POA
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 1
POA
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
POA
1 - 0
AFC
58%
25%
18%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |