Democrata SL vs Ideal de Ipatinga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata SL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
2 - 1
DEM
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
URT
3 - 0
DEM
42%
25%
34%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
DEM
2 - 0
ARA
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
DEM
2 - 3
PDC
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
AME
1 - 0
DEM
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ideal de Ipatinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
AME
1 - 0
IPA
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
IPA
1 - 1
17%
21%
62%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
IPA
0 - 1
FEC
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
CAL
6 - 0
IPA
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
IPA
1 - 0
ECI
36%
25%
40%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |