Mineiro 1 Trofeu Inconfidencia Semi-finals
Global 0-4
Democrata GV vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
57.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DEM
0 - 3
ATM
5%
21%
75%
|
52 | 90 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
DEM
1 - 1
SAN
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 1
DEM
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
DEM
1 - 0
POA
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AMF
2 - 1
DEM
79%
16%
5%
|
51 | 85 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 1
VIL
41%
26%
34%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
ANA
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
REA
1 - 1
VIL
24%
26%
50%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
LUV
78%
17%
5%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
ANA
0 - 0
VIL
18%
25%
56%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |