Democrata GV vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 2
DEM
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ATM
3 - 0
DEM
87%
10%
3%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
DEM
0 - 3
NEC
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
DEM
37%
24%
39%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
DEM
1 - 1
CAL
46%
24%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
AMF
1 - 2
TUP
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
TUP
3 - 1
GUA
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
TUP
0 - 0
VIL
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
AME
1 - 3
TUP
42%
25%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
TUP
3 - 0
BOA
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +2 |