Democrata GV vs Minas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SOC
0 - 2
DEM
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
DEM
3 - 0
TRI
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
0 - 1
DEM
68%
19%
14%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
DEM
1 - 3
27%
24%
50%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
TRI
1 - 0
DEM
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Minas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
MIN
1 - 1
16%
21%
64%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
SOC
1 - 2
MIN
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MIN
4 - 2
TRI
30%
23%
48%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +3 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TRI
0 - 1
MIN
62%
21%
18%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
MIN
1 - 2
SOC
30%
23%
48%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |