Delfín vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
19.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Delfín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 0
DEL
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
DEL
1 - 1
RIV
48%
29%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 0
DEL
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
DEL
2 - 0
DEP
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
UTC
1 - 2
DEL
33%
29%
38%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 1
MUN
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
DPT
1 - 0
MAC
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 0
DEL
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2014 |
IMB
0 - 1
MAC
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 0
AUC
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |