Def. Unidos vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
16.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SMG
2 - 1
CAD
32%
28%
39%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
CAD
0 - 0
ITA
56%
26%
19%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
JJU
0 - 2
CAD
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CAD
3 - 1
SAC
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
MID
2 - 1
CAD
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 0
TAL
39%
27%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FEN
1 - 2
EXC
66%
22%
12%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 0
LAM
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
LAF
4 - 0
EXC
68%
21%
11%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 2
UAI
21%
27%
52%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |