Def. de Pronunciamiento vs Gimnasia Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
38.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
SLP
1 - 1
DPR
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
DPR
0 - 1
UNI
30%
26%
45%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
DPR
2 - 0
LIB
27%
24%
50%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
GIM
1 - 1
DPR
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
DPR
1 - 2
SLP
36%
27%
38%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
GIM
0 - 0
LIB
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SLP
4 - 1
GIM
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
GIM
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
GIM
1 - 1
DPR
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 3
GIM
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |