Defensores de Esquiú vs Instituto Santiago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores de Esquiú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
DAT
2 - 0
CDE
59%
20%
22%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CDE
2 - 2
CAT
83%
12%
6%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
FIA
1 - 0
CDE
53%
21%
26%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CDE
2 - 0
SLB
45%
22%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CDE
0 - 0
DAT
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Instituto Santiago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2019 |
INS
2 - 2
OVA
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CCU
1 - 2
INS
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
INS
1 - 1
ACC
37%
23%
40%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CAG
4 - 0
INS
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
OVA
4 - 3
INS
37%
23%
41%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |