Copa Argentina 1/512
Global 4-2
Defensores Belgrano VR vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
20.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
DFR
1 - 3
UNI
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
DFR
0 - 0
FER
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
ALV
0 - 0
DFR
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
DFR
1 - 0
CGB
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
AGR
1 - 1
DFR
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
AGR
3 - 2
ALV
39%
30%
31%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CGB
1 - 1
ALV
33%
29%
38%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
ALV
0 - 0
DFR
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 0
ALV
32%
31%
38%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ALV
1 - 0
FER
48%
25%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |