Villa del Mar vs Real Academia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa del Mar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
UTC
2 - 0
DVM
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
DVM
1 - 1
LOS
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2006 |
DVM
0 - 2
LOS
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2006 |
AYA
2 - 0
DVM
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
DVM
1 - 2
SMA
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
RAC
1 - 1
AYA
32%
26%
41%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2006 |
SMA
2 - 1
RAC
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2006 |
RAC
0 - 2
IAS
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2006 |
ALF
0 - 2
RAC
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
RAC
4 - 3
DCU
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |