Defensor Sporting vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
12.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2007 |
MWA
3 - 4
DEF
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
DEF
3 - 2
LFC
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 0
DEF
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
JUN
2 - 2
DEF
34%
27%
40%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
DEF
2 - 2
PEÑ
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2007 |
ROC
1 - 2
PEÑ
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
RIV
3 - 0
ROC
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
ROC
1 - 2
REN
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
MWA
1 - 1
ROC
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
ROC
1 - 2
PRO
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |