Defensor Sporting vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
DEF
1 - 0
CER
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
RAC
3 - 3
DEF
39%
27%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 3
PEÑ
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 3
TAC
71%
18%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
CEL
1 - 3
DEF
23%
27%
50%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
CEL
2 - 2
RIV
19%
23%
58%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
RIV
3 - 1
TAC
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
RIV
3 - 0
CSC
72%
17%
10%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
RIV
0 - 1
CER
66%
19%
14%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
LFC
1 - 1
RIV
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |