Defensor Sporting vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2006 |
CER
1 - 1
DEF
37%
28%
36%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2006 |
DEF
1 - 3
NAC
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
CSM
1 - 4
DEF
38%
27%
36%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
DEF
4 - 2
JUN
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
REN
0 - 1
DEF
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2006 |
BVS
1 - 0
RIV
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2006 |
RIV
1 - 2
LFC
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
DAN
2 - 1
RIV
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
CEN
2 - 0
RIV
38%
27%
36%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
MWA
1 - 2
RIV
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |